College football betting picks: Pitt and Wyoming among the best bets

Overreacting to the week before is one of the worst mistakes bettors can make.

That’s a word of warning for those checking out two of the biggest college football games of the week.

The Iowa State No.9 has playoff aspirations, but the Cyclones barely earned a 16-10 victory over Northeastern Championship Subdivision Iowa in their first game of the season. Meanwhile, Iowa went from No.18 to No.10 after destroying No. 17 Indiana 34-6.

This apparently makes Iowa an enticing option as a 4-point underdog in Iowa State in a Top 10 showdown on Saturday, but I wouldn’t expect to see the same Cyclones that barely beat the northern Iowa. Beware.

The same dynamic is at play for Washington. The Huskies came out of the Top 25 after a terrible 13-7 loss to Montana from FCS and now head to Michigan to face the Wolverines, who beat Western Michigan 47-14 in Game 1.

Michigan looks to be an easy -6½ game, but Washington probably won’t play as badly this week.

Be careful there.

Here are five top spots this week:

– Pittsburgh -3: The Panthers earned a 51-7 victory in their opener, albeit over Massachusetts, and should be motivated for a trip to the SEC country. By making Pitt a favorite of the road, bookies are telling you everything you need to know.

– East Carolina +2: The Pirates lost 33-19 to Appalachian State in their opener of the season, but they opened as favorites to SEC South Carolina, who shut out Eastern Illinois 46-0 in their opener. Money appeared on the Gamecocks to push them to 2 point favorites, but I’ll stick with the bookies’ initial assessment that East Carolina is way better than they perceive.

– Wyoming -6½: A classic “this line doesn’t look good” game. The Cowboys scored in the last minute to beat FCS Montana State 19-16, while Northern Illinois took the win as a 19-point underdog at Georgia Tech. But Wyoming now poses close to a TD on the road against the Huskies? This line does not appear to be correct. Give me Wyoming.

– Middle Tennessee +20: It’s a game against Virginia Tech more than a game against the Blue Raiders. The Hokies are in a classic sandwich place, having eliminated So-No. 10 North Carolina opens with a trip to West Virginia next week. Middle Tennessee scored 50 points last week against Monmouth and should score enough against a selfless Virginia Tech team to stay in the 20.

– Utah -7: Brigham Young blew up most of a 21-3 lead over Arizona before securing a 24-16 victory in Game 1, and the Cougars face a substantial improvement in their class against Utah during the Holy war. Arizona has pushed BYU a bit up front, and the Utes should be able to dominate the line of scrimmage even more.

– Last week: 3-2

– Season: 3-2

Contact Jim Barnes at [email protected] or 702-383-0277. To follow @JimBarnesLV on Twitter.



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Joseph D. Whitman

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