Condon best bets for week 3
Welcome to week 3 of the college football season. Last week it was a struggle as I went 2-3 ATS. Love the list of games coming up this week. In total, I have circled 15 games. Let’s find my top 5 bets:
West Michigan (+14.5) @ Pittsburgh 11:00 a.m. CT, FSN
Pat Narduzzi and his Pitt Panthers were exceptional last week in the road victory over Tennessee. The offense was buzzing and they found just enough defense. Now they are coming back to a place asleep against Western Michigan. WMU was effective both in the red zone and in 3rd decrease in efficiency. Pitt doesn’t have a high-end normal defense and a disappointment is expected.
The Choice: Western Michigan (+14.5)
Georgia Southern (+24) @ Arkansas 3:00 p.m. CT, SEC Network
Speaking of disappointments, we’re looking at a huge place here. Arkansas are coming off the dominant victory over Texas with a look to the future as Texas A&M is on the next bridge. Georgia Southern is not good, but they do offer the triple option. They can eat a ton of clock and keep that thing tight enough to get the cover.
The choice: South Georgia (+24)
Nevada (-1.5) @ Kansas State 1:00 p.m. CT, ESPN +
Kansas State is off to a good 2-0 start and appears to be a dark horse in the Big 12 race. But they lost starting quarterback Skyler Thompson. When Thompson is healthy, the Wildcats have been very good. Without him was a major struggle. Carson Strong is an NFL prospect for the Wolf Pack quarterback and former Hawkeye Jay Norvell has done a good job at Reno. More than anything, I’m bypassing K-State minus Thompson.
The choice: Nevada (-1.5)
Ball State (+6.5) @ Wyoming 3:00 p.m. CT, stadium
We are going Group of 5 for our 4e to take. Ball State needed a late rally to pass Western Illinois in Game 1, then was blown up last week by Penn State 44-13 while Wyoming is 2-0 after wins over Montana State and NIU. The Cowboys can run the ball while Ball State has been a sieve in defense. The Cardinals are also allowing 310 yards per game in the air. Coupled with consecutive trips from State College, PA, back to Muncie, Indiana and now to Laramie, I see tired legs.
The choice: Wyoming (-6.5)
Fresno State (+11.5) @ UCLA 9:45 p.m. CT, Pac 12 network
UCLA is riding high after knocking out LSU two weeks ago at the Rose Bowl. Fresno got back on track after falling behind Oregon with a 63-10 victory over Cal Poly. Jake Haener has been great all season for Fresno. The question is whether the Bulldogs hold up against Chip Kelly’s physical team. I saw them do it against Oregon, they will do it again. And maybe even with that outright.
The choice: Fresno State (+11.5)
Season review: 2-3